Iran’s Global Force Projection Network: IRGC Quds Force and Lebanese Hezbollah
By Will Fulton
March 20, 2013
http://www.irantracker.org/analysis/fulton-iran-global-force-projection-network-irgc-quds-force-lebanese-hezbollah-march-20-2013
Statement before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on
Terrorism, Nonproliferation, and Trade hearing on “Hezbollah’s Strategic
Shift: A Global Terrorist Threat."
The Islamic Republic of Iran is first and foremost concerned with regime
preservation, and its strategic calculus and behavior are deeply influenced
by this concern. It is therefore essential that Iran’s global terror
campaign is considered within this context. Iran’s global force projection
network, to include the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and the
Quds Force, Lebanese Hezbollah, and Iran’s proxies in Iraq and Gaza, is
primarily a deterrence and retaliatory force, nested within a strategy
designed to protect the regime from external threats. By demonstrating a
capability to strike U.S. and Israeli interests anywhere in the world, or
creating a perception of this capability, Iran’s leaders hope to stave off a
military strike, or at least make it extremely costly for their foes.
This has been a component of Iran’s strategic thinking since the earliest
years of the Iranian Revolution. In 1980, while the regime was still in its
infancy and officials were debating the direction of Iran’s foreign policy,
the official organ of the IRGC published an editorial describing why Iran’s
global terrorist network is fundamental to regime survival. It reads in
part:
In order to achieve ideological, political, security and economic
self-reliance we have no other choice but to mobilize all forces loyal to
the Islamic Revolution, and through this mobilization, plant such a terror
in the hearts of the enemies that they abandon the thought of an offensive
and annihilation of our revolution…. If our revolution does not have an
offensive and internationalist dimension, the enemies of Islam will again
enslave us culturally, politically, and the like, and they will not abstain
from plunder and looting.[1]
This, in my view, is an accurate reflection of Iranian strategic thinking
still today. In order to understand the Iranian global terrorist activity
that we see currently, it is important to bear in mind the strategic
thinking out of which this behavior has emerged.
It is noteworthy that this sentiment was articulated by the IRGC, as this is
the organization that is primarily responsible for managing Iran’s global
force projection network.
The IRGC is a revolutionary, ideological military organization and an
economic and political powerhouse within Iran. The IRGC’s self-described
primary mission is to defend Iran’s Islamic Revolution; in other words, to
preserve the regime.[2] To accomplish this mission, the IRGC is tasked with
internal security, conventional deterrence and defense, internal and
external intelligence collection, and foreign military operations.
The IRGC’s senior leadership consists of a core network of individuals who
developed professional military experience and enduring personal
relationships during Iran’s eight-year war with Iraq (1980-1988).[3] The
commander of the IRGC, Major General Mohammad Ali Jafari, reports to Iran’s
Supreme Leader and each of the IRGC’s five combat service commanders report
directly to Jafari, with the exception of one. Quds Force Commander Major
General Qassem Suleimani also reports directly to the Supreme Leader.[4]
This point is extremely important to understanding the extent to which
Iran’s senior leadership is complicit in the global activities of the Quds
Force, its partners, and proxies. There is no intermediary between the
Supreme Leader and Quds Force Commander Qassem Suleimani. Any Quds Force
activity has, at a minimum, tacit approval of the Supreme Leader.
The notion that Quds Force operations – such as the 2011 plot to assassinate
the Saudi ambassador to the U.S. in a mass-casualty attack in Washington,
D.C. – is undertaken by rogue elements of the Quds Force without the
approval of Qassem Suleimani and the Supreme Leader is anathema to the
IRGC’s command structure.[5]
The IRGC and Lebanese Hezbollah have a well-known historical relationship
that continues to this day. The IRGC deployed one of its brigades to
southern Lebanon in the early 1980s to create and stand up Hezbollah.[6]
Since that time Iran has provided continuous financial and materiel support
to Hezbollah, and their partnership has materialized in the form of multiple
mass-casualty terrorist attacks around the globe, targeted assassinations,
and military operations in wartime environments.[7] This last element of
collaboration is well-documented and provides insight into the depth of
cooperation between the Quds Force and Hezbollah in their operations.
Moreover, the Quds Force personnel known to have been involved in these
operations continue to play senior roles in Iran’s global force projection
network today.
During the Iraq War, the Quds Force teamed with Lebanese Hezbollah to train,
fund and arm Iraqi Shia militant groups, and plan and execute attacks
against U.S. and Coalition Forces. In one such example, Deputy Commander of
the Quds Force External Special Operations Unit, Abdul Reza Shahlai, along
with senior Hezbollah operative Ali Musa Daqduq, planned a sophisticated
attack in 2007 that resulted in the death of five U.S. soldiers in Karbala,
Iraq.[8]
Shahlai later went on to help plan and facilitate the failed 2011 plot to
assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the U.S. in Washington, D.C.[9] Daqduq,
who had been appointed in 2005 by Hezbollah to coordinate training for Iraqi
militants inside Iran with the Quds Force, was detained by Coalition Forces
in 2007.[10] He was released by the Iraqi government in 2012.[11] Reports
indicate that Daqduq fled Baghdad for Lebanon after his release.[12]
The third highest-ranking commander of the Quds Force, Operations and
Training Deputy Mohsen Chizari, was also active in Iraq. Chizari was
detained by U.S. forces in Baghdad in 2006 along with another unnamed Quds
Force officer and detailed information on the import of sophisticated
weaponry from Iran to Iraq.[13] The Iraqi government quickly released
Chizari and his co-conspirator, citing diplomatic immunity.[14] Five years
later, in May 2011, the U.S. Department of the Treasury designated Chizari,
along with Quds Force Commander Qassem Suleimani, for their role in
supporting Bashar al Assad’s regime in Syria.[15]
Iran’s involvement in Syria is not surprising. Iran maintains a number of
strategic interests that have been affected by the ongoing crisis, and the
centrality of Syria to Iran’s regional objectives has necessitated an
integrated effort. Syria has long been Iran’s closest state ally and
provided crucial access to Hezbollah in Lebanon, as well as Hamas in Gaza,
and Islamic Jihad in the West Bank. Iran has used Syria as a hub to finance
and transport personnel and weapons to these groups. Furthermore, Iran has
invested in Syria as a strategic partner as part of its deterrence strategy
vis-à-vis Israel and as an Arab ally in its rivalry with Turkey and the
Persian Gulf states. Iran is, therefore, implementing a two-track strategy
in Syria, undertaking efforts to both preserve the Assad regime for as long
as possible while working to create a permissive operational environment in
post-Assad Syria.[16]
This effort has been led primarily by the Quds Force, which has deployed
senior personnel into Syria in order to arm, train, and advise elements of
Assad’s security forces.[17] The assassination of senior Quds Force
commander Brigadier General Hassan Shateri in Syria last month is evidence
of ongoing Quds Force activity directed at the highest levels.[18] Iran’s
efforts have also increasingly involved Lebanese Hezbollah. The Quds Force
and Hezbollah have cooperated in ensuring the passage of Iranian arms
shipments to Syria since at least 2012.[19] They have also cooperated to
train pro-Assad forces inside Syria.[20]
Hezbollah has recently increased its direct combat role in Syria. Hezbollah
forces launched an attack in February 2013 in coordination with Assad’s
forces against rebel-held villages near al Qusayr, Syria.[21] The January
2013 Israeli strike on a Hezbollah military convoy transporting SA-17
anti-aircraft missiles revealed that the organization was working to move
more sophisticated weaponry out of Syria into Lebanon.[22] The emergence of
the Abu al-Fadl al-Abbas Brigade in Syria, a conglomerate of Syrian and
foreign Shia fighters, including members of Hezbollah and Iraqi militia
groups which purports to protect the Shia Sayyeda Zeinab shrine and
surrounding neighborhood in Damascus, could provide Iran and the Quds Force
another avenue to both assist Assad militarily and influence the conflict
after regime collapse.[23]
The extent of Iranian and Hezbollah involvement in Syria reflects the
centrality of Syria to both. The loss of Syria as a state ally will
significantly impact Iran’s ability to deter Israel, project power in the
Levant, and supply its proxies.
Iran may achieve some success with this two-track strategy, prolonging the
conflict and creating conditions whereby it can retain some of its
operational capacity in the Levant. The loss of Syria as a state ally,
however, will significantly limit Iran’s strategic depth. A rump Alawite
state cannot provide Iran with the same level of deterrence, or political
and economic support as Assad’s Syria. Moreover, a rump Alawite state cannot
be sustained indefinitely. [24] Iran’s efforts in this regard offer only a
temporary solution to a much greater problem.
Iran is certainly aware that the loss of Syria will significantly degrade
its ability to project power in the Levant and has planned for such a
contingency. In order to compensate for this loss and continue to present an
effective deterrence force, Iran may look to expand its activities in other
countries and regions. The interception earlier this month of an Iranian
weapons shipment containing sophisticated Chinese-made antiaircraft
missiles, and large quantities of arms, ammunition, and explosive material
destined for al Houthi rebels in Yemen suggests that, in at least one area,
Iran has ramped up its support for militants elsewhere.[25]
The Quds Force’s recent escalation of global activity over the past two
years, including a plot to conduct a mass-casualty attack in Washington
D.C., a mixed bag of failure and success in its terrorist plots against
Israeli interests in Georgia, India, and Azerbaijan, and plans to carry out
attacks in Bahrain, Kenya, and Nigeria, indicate that Iran is growing and
operationalizing its global force projection network.[26] This is likely an
effort on Iran’s part to demonstrate that it, indeed, has a robust deterrent
and retaliatory force in place. As the conflict in Syria stretches on,
Damascus slips from Assad’s control, and Iran sees its strategic depth
continually eroded, we are likely to see not just increasing Iranian
military activity in Syria but a more risk-prone Iranian regional and global
strategy.
[1] “tahlili bar zarourat-e tashkil-e sepah dar seh bod-e ideolozhi, siyasi,
nezami” [An Analysis of the Necessity of Establishing the Guards in the
Three Dimensions of Ideology, Politics, and Military], Payam-e Enqelab
(Tehran), March 19, 1980, p. 32. Translation from: Ali Alfoneh. Iran
Unveiled: How the Revolutionary Guards is Turning Theocracy into Military
Dictatorship (Washington, D.C.: AEI Press, forthcoming).
[2] “dafa’ az enghelab-e eslami mohemtarin mamuriyat-e sepah” [Defending the
Islamic Revolution is the Sepah’s Most Important Mision], Bultan, December
13, 2012. Available in Persian:
http://www.bultannews.com/fa/news/114985/%D8%AF%D9%81%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%A7%D8%
B2-%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%82%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%A8-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%85%DB%8C
-%D9%85%D9%87%D9%85%D8%AA%D8%B1%DB%8C%D9%86-%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%85%D9%88%D8%B1%D
B%8C%D8%AA-%D8%B3%D9%BE%D8%A7%D9%87
[3] Will Fulton, “IRGC Command Network: Formal Structures and Informal
Influence,” AEI Critical Threats Project, October 10, 2012. Available:
http://www.irantracker.org/analysis/fulton-irgc-command-network-october-10-2
012
[4] “baraye hezf-e Israel yek bahaneh va 24 sa’at vaght lazem darim” [We
only need an excuse and 24 hours to destroy Israel], Jahan News, September
29, 2012. Available in Persian:
http://jahannews.com/vdcbgzb5grhba8p.uiur.html
[5] “Two Men Charged in Alleged Plot to Assassinate Saudi Arabian Ambassador
to the United States,” U.S. Department of Justice, October 11, 2011.
Available: http://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/2011/October/11-ag-1339.html
[6] “farmandeh-ye jedid-e sepah-e mohammad rasoulallah kist?” [Who is the
new IRGC Mohammad Rasoul Allah Commander?], Tabnak, November 12, 2009.
Available in Persian:
http://www.tabnak.ir/fa/news/72683/%D9%81%D8%B1%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AF%D9%8
7-%D8%AC%D8%AF%D9%8A%D8%AF-%D8%B3%D9%BE%D8%A7%D9%87-%D9%85%D8%AD%D9%85%D8%AF
-%D8%B1%D8%B3%D9%88%D9%84%E2%80%8C%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%84%D9%87-%D9%83%D9%8A%D8%B
3%D8%AA%D8%9F
[7] “Hizbullah,” National Counterterrorism Center: Counterterrorism 2013
Calendar. Available: http://www.nctc.gov/site/groups/hizballah.html
[8] “Treasury Designates Individuals and Entities Fueling Violence in Iraq,”
U.S. Department of the Treasury, September 16, 2008. Available:
http://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/hp1141.aspx
“Iran Arming, Training, Directing Terror Groups in Iraq, U.S. Official
Says,” U.S. Department of Defense, July 2, 2007. Available:
http://www.defense.gov/News/NewsArticle.aspx?ID=46606
[9] “Treasury Sanctions Five Individuals Tied to Iranian Plot to Assassinate
the Saudi Arabian Ambassador to the United States,” U.S. Department of the
Treasury, October 11, 2011. Available:
http://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/pages/tg1320.aspx
[10] “Iran Arming, Training, Directing Terror Groups in Iraq, U.S. Official
Says,” U.S. Department of Defense, July 2, 2007. Available:
http://www.defense.gov/News/NewsArticle.aspx?ID=46606
[11] “Iraq releases suspected Hezbollah operative Daqduq,” Reuters, November
16, 2012. Available:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/16/us-iraq-daqduq-release-idUSBRE8AF0
SS20121116
[12] “Iraqi PM cites lack of evidence in release of man wanted by US in
killings of soldiers,” CNN, November 19, 2012. Available:
http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/17/world/meast/iraq-us-militant-charges
[13] Sudarsan Raghavan and Robin Wright, “Iraq Expels 2 Iranians Detained by
U.S.,” The Washington Post, December 29, 2012. Available:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/12/29/AR2006122901
510_pf.html
[14] Ibid.
[15] “Treasury Designates Iranian Ministry of Intelligence and Security for
Human Rights Abuses and Support for Terrorism,” U.S. Department of the
Treasury, February 16, 2012. Available:
http://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/tg1424.aspx
[16] Joseph Holliday, Will Fulton, Sam Wyer, “Iranian Strategy in Syria,”
Institute for the Study of War and AEI Critical Threats Project,
forthcoming.
Joseph Holliday and Elizabeth O’Bagy of the Institute for the Study of War
have done considerable work on the Syrian conflict. For more information on
the current operational environment in Syria, including Iran’s involvement
in that conflict, see:
Joseph Holliday, “The Assad Regime: From Counterinsurgency To Civil War,”
Institute for the Study of War, March 6, 2013. Available:
http://www.understandingwar.org/report/assad-regime
Elizabeth O’Bagy, “Jihad in Syria,” Institute for the Study of War,
September 17, 2012. Available:
http://www.understandingwar.org/report/jihad-syria
[17] “Administration Takes Additional Steps to Hold the Government of Syria
Accountable for Violent Repression Against the Syrian People,” U.S.
Department of the Treasury, May 18, 2011. Available:
http://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/tg1181.aspx
[18] Will Fulton, “The Assassination of Iranian Quds Force General Hassan
Shateri in Syria,” AEI Critical Threats, February 28, 2013. Available:
http://www.irantracker.org/analysis/fulton-assassination-iranian-quds-force-
general-hassan-shateri-syria-february-28-2013
[19] “Treasury Targets Iranian Arms Shipments,” U.S. Department of the
Treasury, March 27, 2012. Available:
http://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/tg1506.aspx
“Treasury Designates Syrian Entity, Others Involved in Arms and
Communications Procurement Networks and Identifies Blocked Iranian
Aircraft,” U.S. Department of the Treasury, September 19, 2012. Available:
http://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/tg1714.aspx
[20] “Treasury Sanctions Al-Nusrah Front Leadership in Syria and Militias
Supporting the Asad Regime,” U.S. Department of the Treasury, December 11,
2012. Available:
http://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/tg1797.aspx
[21] Khaled Yacoub Oweis, Laila Bassam, “Hezbollah fighter, five Syrian
rebels killed on border,” Reuters, February 17, 2013. Available:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/17/us-syria-crisis-hezbollah-idUSBRE9
1G0CX20130217
Patrick McDonnell, Nabih Bulos, “Hezbollah fighters reported killed in
clashes with Syrian rebels,” The Los Angeles Times, February 18, 2013.
Available:
http://www.latimes.com/news/world/worldnow/la-fg-wn-hezbollah-fighters-repor
ted-killed-20130218,0,7954864.story
[22] “White House warns Syria over 'weapons to Hezbollah',” BBC News,
January 31, 2013. Available:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-21281923
[23] Nicholas Blanford, “Video appears to show Hezbollah and Iraqi Shiites
fighting in Syria,” Christian Science Monitor, January 18, 2013. Available:
http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2013/0118/Video-appears-to-show-H
ezbollah-and-Iraqi-Shiites-fighting-in-Syria
Statement #1 by Abu al-Fadl al-Abbas Brigade posted on Facebook, January
2013. Translated from Arabic.
Suadad al-Salhy, “Iraqi Shi’ite militants fight for Syria’s Assad,” Reuters,
October 16, 2012.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/16/us-syria-crisis-iraq-militias-idUS
BRE89F0PX20121016
[24] “Sen. Carl Levin Holds A Hearing On U.S. Central Command And U.S.
Special Operations Command,” CQ Transcriptions, March 5, 2013. Available on
Lexis-Nexis.
[25] Robert F. Worth and C.J. Chivers, “Seized Chinese Weapons Raise
Concerns on Iran,” The New York Times, March 2, 2013. Available:
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/03/world/middleeast/seized-arms-off-yemen-rai
se-alarm-over-iran.html
[26] “Bahrain convicts six of plotting with Iran,” Reuters, May 27, 2012.
Available:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/27/us-bahrain-plot-trial-idUSBRE84Q08
P20120527
“Azerbaijan arrests plot suspects, cites Iran link,” Reuters, January 25,
2012. Available:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/25/azerbaijan-israel-plot-idUSL5E8CP3
LB20120125
Ethan Bronner, “Israel Says Iran Is Behind Bombs,” February 13, 2012.
Available:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/14/world/middleeast/israeli-embassy-officials
-attacked-in-india-and-georgia.html
Dan Williams, “Israel blames Iran after attacks on embassy staff,” Reuters,
February 13, 2012. Available:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/02/13/us-israel-security-embassies-idUST
RE81C0QZ20120213
Jason Straziuso, Tom Odula “Iranians in Kenya planned Israeli, US attacks,”
Associated Press, July 2, 2012. Available:
http://news.yahoo.com/ap-iranians-kenya-planned-israeli-us-attacks-172250609
.html <
Camilius Eboh, “Nigeria says arrests Iran-linked cell targeting U.S.,
Israel,” Reuters, Februar 21, 2013. Available:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/21/us-nigeria-iran-idUSBRE91K09420130
221?irpc=932
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