Is Saudi Arabia Targeting Hezbollah?
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/07/hezbollah-saudi-conflict-repercussion-abroad.html
By: Nasser Chararah for Al-Monitor Lebanon Pulse Posted on July 24.
Hezbollah and Lebanese security officials' fears have become reality during
the past two weeks. The explosion that targeted the heart of Hezbollah’s
most secure neighborhood and the bomb ambush of one of the party’s convoys
along Chatoura Road leading to the Syrian border on July 16 embodied what
had until recently been mere conjecture: the start of an open war against
Hezbollah in Lebanon, with the aim of punishing the party for its
involvement in the battle against the Syrian opposition in Qusair. Behind
the scenes, it seems Hezbollah is hinting at Saudi Arabian involvement in
these attacks, specifically accusing the director-general of Saudi
intelligence, Bandar bin Sultan, who Hezbollah considers responsible for
funding and conducting these attacks.
According to informed sources, the ruling family in Riyadh is suffering
internal divides during this stage, linked to the ongoing conflict between
the princes of the second generation, in full view of those of the first
generation [sons of King Abdulaziz]. According to these sources, it seems
that Prince Bandar bin Sultan is taking advantage of this reality to
independently make the decision to implement a security agenda against
Hezbollah in Lebanon. Furthermore, the climate of tension within ruling
circles and among sheikhs in Saudi Arabia assisted him in this. These
circles are experiencing high degrees of sectarian tensions with Hezbollah,
and are demanding that the latter be punished for its public involvement in
the Syrian regime's war against the opposition.
Despite the repeated blows lately suffered by Hezbollah, the battle is still
in its infancy, and many hope it will not escalate to a wide-ranging and
open war between Riyadh and the Syrian opposition on one end and Hezbollah
and Iran on the other. On July 18, a newsflash from Bahrain stated that an
explosive device had detonated near a Sunni mosque. If only theoretically
and for the purpose of political analysis, one might infer that this
incident was Iran’s counterpunch following its accusation that Riyadh was
behind the attacks against Hezbollah in the last two weeks.
It is difficult to believe that the war against Hezbollah, if it were to
endure, would remain confined to Lebanese soil. For the chaotic atmosphere
that prevails in the region has rendered it easy prey for demographic,
religious and sectarian cross-border reactions that spread from one country
to another like an infectious plague.
According to sources from inside the party, it is too early to ascertain now
how the ongoing war against Hezbollah will play out in Lebanon. But a party
official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told Al-Monitor on Sunday July
21, that the latest targeting of Hezbollah’s neighborhoods and convoys
indicated that the decision had been made to open a war against Hezbollah in
Lebanon, and that this war would expand. The party was wagering on outside
intervention to put an end to it, because its continuation would negatively
affect Lebanon’s internationally sanctioned stability. But if intervention
were not to occur, then the party would find itself compelled to respond
with self-defense.
The words of this Hezbollah official seem to indicate that the party will
not rush to react, and is hoping that these blows against it were only meant
to convey a political message, no more. But if it turns out that the war is
an open one, then the situation will grow much more dangerous, not only in
Lebanon, but also in the Arab Gulf states adjacent to Hezbollah’s strategic
ally, Iran.
Read more:
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/07/hezbollah-saudi-conflict-r
epercussion-abroad.html#ixzz2a0ZfYYkV
No comments:
Post a Comment